Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.055518 0.065919 0.077603 0.091684 0.108176 0.126860 0.149619
2025-04-13 0.037824 0.050577 0.066558 0.087981 0.115867 0.150849 0.197969
2025-04-20 0.029563 0.043359 0.062172 0.089535 0.128126 0.180389 0.256271
2025-04-27 0.023908 0.037888 0.058341 0.090167 0.138107 0.207205 0.313817
2025-05-04 0.019834 0.033639 0.055117 0.090555 0.147053 0.232957 0.372544
2025-05-11 0.016965 0.030585 0.052971 0.091889 0.157133 0.261115 0.437926
2025-05-18 0.015053 0.028687 0.052241 0.095162 0.170435 0.295548 0.517057
2025-05-25 0.012537 0.025219 0.048217 0.092078 0.172410 0.311418 0.567204
2025-06-01 0.010908 0.023069 0.046131 0.091993 0.179393 0.336283 0.635259
2025-06-08 0.009419 0.020906 0.043643 0.090705 0.183849 0.356969 0.697980
2025-06-15 0.008545 0.019830 0.043066 0.092957 0.195172 0.391259 0.789287
2025-06-22 0.007484 0.018157 0.041009 0.091894 0.199756 0.413220 0.859469
2025-06-29 0.006447 0.016368 0.038480 0.089572 0.201682 0.430647 0.923727
2025-07-06 0.005500 0.014612 0.035745 0.086397 0.201399 0.443650 0.980757
2025-07-13 0.005012 0.013877 0.035194 0.088014 0.211685 0.479552 1.089173
2025-07-20 0.004524 0.013048 0.034288 0.088654 0.219833 0.511772 1.193259
2025-07-27 0.004084 0.012256 0.033339 0.089040 0.227412 0.543534 1.299763
2025-08-03 0.003741 0.011666 0.032802 0.090353 0.237343 0.581606 1.424459
2025-08-10 0.003520 0.011380 0.033004 0.093574 0.252333 0.632869 1.584809
2025-08-17 0.003065 0.010311 0.030940 0.090539 0.251229 0.646228 1.657736
2025-08-24 0.002778 0.009695 0.030022 0.090455 0.257696 0.678434 1.779231
2025-08-31 0.002483 0.008994 0.028749 0.089188 0.260858 0.702830 1.884146
2025-09-07 0.002329 0.008724 0.028697 0.091405 0.273738 0.752994 2.058694